Gateshead

0 - 1

Middlesbrough

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.9%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.