Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KRC Genk II win with a probability of 66%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Oud-Heverlee Leuven II had a probability of 15.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a KRC Genk II win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 3-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a Oud-Heverlee Leuven II win it was 1-2 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KRC Genk II would win this match.
-0.03) 
0.02) 
