Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mantova win with a probability of 51.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Athletic Carpi had a probability of 24.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mantova win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for an Athletic Carpi win it was 0-1 (7.11%).