Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 52.17%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Marino de Luanco had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.26%) and 1-2 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Marino de Luanco win it was 1-0 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.