Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 48.01%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Marino had a probability of 24.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Marino win it was 1-0 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.