Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggiana win with a probability of 63.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Lentigione had a probability of 15.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggiana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.01%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Lentigione win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reggiana would win this match.