Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Renofa Yamaguchi win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Renofa Yamaguchi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Oita Trinita win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Renofa Yamaguchi would win this match.