Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotive Leipzig win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Wismut Gera had a probability of 38.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotive Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.41%) and 1-3 (4.7%). The likeliest Wismut Gera win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotive Leipzig would win this match.