Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Costa Rica had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Costa Rica win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.