MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 12:03:38| >> :600:48895871:48895871:
Jamaica national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Semi-Finals
Jul 13, 2023 at 3.36am UK
Allegiant Stadium
Mexico national football team

Jamaica
0 - 3
Mexico


Lowe (29'), Lambert (39'), Bernard (54')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Martin (2'), Chavez (30'), Alvarado (90+3')
Uriel (61'), Alvarez (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Jamaica and Mexico, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Guatemala 0-1 Jamaica
Sunday, July 9 at 10pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup
All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Mexico 2-0 Costa Rica
Sunday, July 9 at 3.10am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Mexico356
2Qatar304
3Honduras3-34
4Haiti3-23

We said: Jamaica 1-1 Mexico (Jamaica advances on penalties).

By now, both of these veteran sides know what it is like to play in these high stakes encounters, and we expect a close match between two well-balanced teams on Wednesday. We believe the Jamaicans might have a slight edge regarding consistency and goalkeeping, and the latter will come in handy the longer this match is deadlocked. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 46.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 26.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.04%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Jamaica win it was 1-0 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result
JamaicaDrawMexico
26.52%27.19%46.29%
Both teams to score 46.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.03%57.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.34%78.66%
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.36%37.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.58%74.41%
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.96%25.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.29%59.7%
Score Analysis
    Jamaica 26.52%
    Mexico 46.28%
    Draw 27.19%
JamaicaDrawMexico
1-0 @ 9.21%
2-1 @ 6.23%
2-0 @ 4.5%
3-1 @ 2.03%
3-0 @ 1.47%
3-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 26.52%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 9.42%
2-2 @ 4.31%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.19%
0-1 @ 13.04%
0-2 @ 9.04%
1-2 @ 8.83%
0-3 @ 4.17%
1-3 @ 4.08%
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-4 @ 1.44%
1-4 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 46.28%

How you voted: Winner Quarter-final 1 vs Winner Quarter-final 4

Winner Quarter-final 1
45.7%
Draw
25.7%
Winner Quarter-final 4
28.6%
35
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2023 1am
Jun 15, 2022 1am
League A
Jamaica
1-1
Mexico
Bailey (4')
Topey (7'), Bell (48'), Lowe (58')
Romo (45+3')
Uriel (37')
Jan 28, 2022 12am
Third Round
Jamaica
1-2
Mexico
Johnson (50')
Martin (81'), Vega (83')
Sep 3, 2021 3am
Third Round
Mexico
2-1
Jamaica
Vega (50'), Martin (89')
Vega (21')
Nicholson (65')
Jul 27, 2015 12.30am
Final
Jamaica
1-3
Mexico
Mattocks (79')
Watson (24'), Austin (30')
Guardado (31'), Corona (47'), Peralta (61')
Duenas (7'), Reyes (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!