MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 23:53:15| >> :600:48160848:48160848:
Jamaica national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Semi-Finals
Jul 13, 2023 at 3.36am UK
Allegiant Stadium
Mexico national football team

Jamaica
0 - 3
Mexico


Lowe (29'), Lambert (39'), Bernard (54')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Martin (2'), Chavez (30'), Alvarado (90+3')
Uriel (61'), Alvarez (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Jamaica and Mexico, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Guatemala 0-1 Jamaica
Sunday, July 9 at 10pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup
All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Mexico 2-0 Costa Rica
Sunday, July 9 at 3.10am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Mexico356
2Qatar304
3Honduras3-34
4Haiti3-23

We said: Jamaica 1-1 Mexico (Jamaica advances on penalties).

By now, both of these veteran sides know what it is like to play in these high stakes encounters, and we expect a close match between two well-balanced teams on Wednesday. We believe the Jamaicans might have a slight edge regarding consistency and goalkeeping, and the latter will come in handy the longer this match is deadlocked. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 46.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 26.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.04%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Jamaica win it was 1-0 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result
JamaicaDrawMexico
26.52%27.19%46.29%
Both teams to score 46.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.03%57.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.34%78.66%
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.36%37.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.58%74.41%
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.96%25.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.29%59.7%
Score Analysis
    Jamaica 26.52%
    Mexico 46.28%
    Draw 27.19%
JamaicaDrawMexico
1-0 @ 9.21%
2-1 @ 6.23%
2-0 @ 4.5%
3-1 @ 2.03%
3-0 @ 1.47%
3-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 26.52%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 9.42%
2-2 @ 4.31%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.19%
0-1 @ 13.04%
0-2 @ 9.04%
1-2 @ 8.83%
0-3 @ 4.17%
1-3 @ 4.08%
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-4 @ 1.44%
1-4 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 46.28%

How you voted: Winner Quarter-final 1 vs Winner Quarter-final 4

Winner Quarter-final 1
45.7%
Draw
25.7%
Winner Quarter-final 4
28.6%
35
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2023 1am
Jun 15, 2022 1am
League A
Jamaica
1-1
Mexico
Bailey (4')
Topey (7'), Bell (48'), Lowe (58')
Romo (45+3')
Uriel (37')
Jan 28, 2022 12am
Third Round
Jamaica
1-2
Mexico
Johnson (50')
Martin (81'), Vega (83')
Sep 3, 2021 3am
Third Round
Mexico
2-1
Jamaica
Vega (50'), Martin (89')
Vega (21')
Nicholson (65')
Jul 27, 2015 12.30am
Final
Jamaica
1-3
Mexico
Mattocks (79')
Watson (24'), Austin (30')
Guardado (31'), Corona (47'), Peralta (61')
Duenas (7'), Reyes (34')
rhs 2.0
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