Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 50.2%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 22.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.4%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 1-0 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.