Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 35.36%. A win for Atromitos had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.01%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Atromitos win was 1-0 (13.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.