International Friendly

Jun 5, 2022 at 7pm UK

Estadio El Sadar

Argentina
5 - 0
Estonia

Messi (9' pen., 45', 47', 71', 76')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Reaction

Lionel Messi in action for Argentina on September 10, 2021

Argentina's Lionel Messi scores five to overtake Ferenc Puskas goal tally

Argentina's Lionel Messi moves into fourth place in the all-time international men's top-scorer list, overtaking Ferenc Puskas after scoring five goals against Estonia.

Jun 6, 15:14

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

All competitions

Last Game: Angola 0-2 Argentina
Friday, November 14 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	17	22	38
2	Ecuador	17	8	29
3	Brazil	17	8	28
4	Uruguay	17	10	27
5	Colombia	17	7	25
6	Paraguay	17	3	25
7	Venezuela	17	-7	18
8	Bolivia	17	-19	17
9	Peru	17	-14	12
10	Chile	17	-18	10

Estonia

All competitions

Last Game: Cyprus 2-4 Estonia
Tuesday, November 18 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current League C1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Estonia	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 69.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 9.06%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.86%) and 3-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.08%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result
Argentina	Draw	Estonia
69.14% ( -0.02)	21.8% ( -0)	9.06% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 30.18% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.72% (

0.06)

62.28% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.06% (

0.04)

81.94% (

-0.05)

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.52% (

0.01)

17.48% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.04% (

0.03)

47.96% (

-0.03)

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

36.57% (

0.09)

63.43% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.69% (

0.04)

92.3% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Argentina 69.14%

Estonia 9.06%

Draw 21.79%

Argentina	Draw	Estonia
1-0 @ 19.33% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 16.86% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.28% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 69.14%	0-0 @ 11.08% ( -0.03) 1-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.79%	0-1 @ 5.05% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 9.06%