Friendlies 1
Aug 27, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio Felix Capriles
We said: Bolivia 1-1 Panama
With both nations rotating their squads heavily and giving chances to plenty of younger players, Sunday's friendly is certainly one which could go either way.
We see Panama's squad as slightly stronger, and they have called on more experience, but Bolivia can often be a tough away trip and we see a draw as the most likely outcome.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 41.16% . A win for Bolivia had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.1% .
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.1%) . The likeliest Bolivia win was 1-0 (8.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%) . The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.
Result Bolivia Draw Panama 32.78% ( -0.02) 26.05% ( -0.01) 41.16% ( 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.42% ( 0.02)
49.06% ( 0.03) 50.94% ( -0.03)
27.19% ( 0.02) 72.81% ( -0.02)
70.71% ( -0) 29.29% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.75% ( -0) 65.25%
75.54% ( 0.02) 24.46% ( -0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 41.1% ( 0.04) 58.9% ( -0.04)
Bolivia 32.78%
Panama 41.16%
Draw 26.05%
Bolivia Draw Panama 1-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.61% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.21% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.51% Total : 32.78% 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.05% 0-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.1% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.09% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.33% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 41.16%
How you voted: Bolivia vs Panama
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rhs 2.0
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