International Friendly
Sep 25, 2022 at 1am UK
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
Colombia4 - 1Guatemala
Form, Standings, Stats
Comp:
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-1 Colombia
Sunday, June 5 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Sunday, June 5 at 6pm in International Friendlies
We said: Colombia 2-0 Guatemala
As patient and committed as the Guatemalans have been, we feel that they will be outclassed by an experienced Colombian side who have been just as stingy on the back end of late, while boasting a lot more quality than their opponents in the final third. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 17.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.63%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.41%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colombia | Draw | Guatemala |
55.63% ( 0.19) | 27.15% ( -0.12) | 17.22% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 36.7% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
