MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 13:31:16| >> :60:169:169:
Ecuador national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 21, 2023 at 1.15am UK
Subaru Park
Costa Rica national football team

Ecuador
3 - 1
Costa Rica

Valencia (20'), Pacho (57'), Vite (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Campbell (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Ecuador and Costa Rica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ecuador

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Ecuador 1-0 Bolivia
Sunday, June 18 at 12.30am in International Friendlies

Costa Rica

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Costa Rica 0-1 Guatemala
Friday, June 16 at 4am in International Friendlies

We said: Ecuador 1-0 Costa Rica

 Ecuador will be looking to build on their success over Bolivia last time out and should be confident of recording a win against Costa Rica in this one. Los Ticos are in a bit of a crisis after a loss against Guatemala, and we can envisage another difficult evening from them against La Tri in the USA. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 63.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 12.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.43%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ecuador would win this match.

Result
EcuadorDrawCosta Rica
63.63% (-0.229 -0.23) 23.48% (0.12 0.12) 12.89% (0.114 0.11)
Both teams to score 36.66% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.78% (-0.178 -0.18)60.22% (0.182 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.6% (-0.135 -0.14)80.41% (0.137 0.14)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.32% (-0.15100000000001 -0.15)18.69% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.97% (-0.254 -0.25)50.03% (0.258 0.26)
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.08% (0.079000000000001 0.08)54.92% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.17% (0.048 0.05)87.84% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Ecuador 63.62%
    Costa Rica 12.89%
    Draw 23.47%
EcuadorDrawCosta Rica
1-0 @ 17.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 14.43% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.07% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.39% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.45% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 63.62%
1-1 @ 10.31% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 10.26% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 2.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.47%
0-1 @ 6.15% (0.056 0.06)
1-2 @ 3.09% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.84% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 12.89%

How you voted: Ecuador vs Costa Rica

Ecuador
79.3%
Draw
6.9%
Costa Rica
13.8%
29
rhs 2.0
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