Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solomon Islands win with a probability of 50.01%. A win for Fiji had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solomon Islands win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Fiji win was 2-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Solomon Islands would win this match.