MX23RW : Monday, January 20 22:24:58| >> :60:323:323:
France national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Luxembourg national football team

France
3 - 0
Luxembourg

Kolo (43'), Clauss (70'), Mbappe (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Carlson (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between France and Luxembourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how France could line up for Wednesday's international friendly against Luxembourg.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: France 3-2 Chile
Tuesday, March 26 at 8pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Luxembourg 2-1 Kazakhstan
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

We said: France 3-0 Luxembourg

As admirable as Luxembourg's exploits have been over the past year, Holtz's men are still a ways off giving the big boys like France a good run for their money. Deschamps may wish to tinker with his selection a tad, but whichever XI Les Bleus start and end the friendly battle with should make little difference to an emphatic scoreline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 76.08%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 7.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.76%) and 3-0 (11.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for France in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for France.

Result
FranceDrawLuxembourg
76.08% (4.619 4.62) 16.06% (-2.377 -2.38) 7.86% (-2.24 -2.24)
Both teams to score 40.14% (-1.641 -1.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.23% (3.235 3.24)44.77% (-3.232 -3.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.87% (3.046 3.05)67.13% (-3.044 -3.04)
France Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.99% (2.108 2.11)10.01% (-2.107 -2.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.96% (4.645 4.65)33.04% (-4.642 -4.64)
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.6% (-2.937 -2.94)55.4% (2.938 2.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.88% (-1.814 -1.81)88.12% (1.816 1.82)
Score Analysis
    France 76.07%
    Luxembourg 7.86%
    Draw 16.06%
FranceDrawLuxembourg
2-0 @ 14.68% (0.53 0.53)
1-0 @ 12.76% (-0.65 -0.65)
3-0 @ 11.27% (1.308 1.31)
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.459 -0.46)
3-1 @ 6.66% (0.23 0.23)
4-0 @ 6.49% (1.229 1.23)
4-1 @ 3.83% (0.439 0.44)
5-0 @ 2.99% (0.767 0.77)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.108 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.76% (0.332 0.33)
6-0 @ 1.15% (0.365 0.37)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 76.07%
1-1 @ 7.54% (-1.117 -1.12)
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.811 -0.81)
2-2 @ 2.56% (-0.385 -0.39)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 16.06%
0-1 @ 3.27% (-0.825 -0.83)
1-2 @ 2.23% (-0.566 -0.57)
0-2 @ 0.97% (-0.355 -0.36)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 7.86%

How you voted: France vs Luxembourg

France
87.0%
Draw
7.4%
Luxembourg
5.6%
108
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2017 7.45pm
Mar 25, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Luxembourg
1-3
France
Joachim (34' pen.)
Giroud (28', 77'), Griezmann (37' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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