Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 53.63%. A win for Myanmar had a probability of 23.4% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Myanmar win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hong Kong would win this match.