Indonesia

2 - 1

Curacao

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Curacao had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Curacao win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Indonesia in this match.