Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 54.65%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Ivory Coast had a probability of 19.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Ivory Coast win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Japan in this match.