Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 34.7%. A win for Madagascar had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 31.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.84%) and 1-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Madagascar win was 1-0 (13.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burkina Faso would win this match.
