We said: Malaysia 0-1 India
Malaysia have enjoyed a decent unbeaten run since their AFF Championship exit in January, but the visit of India on Friday night is set to be a difficult assignment.
The Blue Tigers will be targeting more silverware after their SAFF success in the summer, and we believe Chhetri and company will squeeze past their hosts in Kuala Lumpur.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaysia win with a probability of 60.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for India had a probability of 16.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaysia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a India win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaysia would win this match.