MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 21:38:43| >> :120:4257:4257:
Mali national football team
International Friendly
Sep 23, 2022 at 8pm UK
New Suez Stadium
Zambia national football team

Mali
1 - 0
Zambia

Bilal Toure (6')
Diawara (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sakala (71')
Coverage of the International Friendlies International Friendly clash between Mali and Zambia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Mali 0-0 Guinea
Monday, August 22 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Namibia 0-1 Zambia
Sunday, July 17 at 6pm in COSAFA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 51.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 23.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mali in this match.

Result
MaliDrawZambia
51.92% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03) 24.81% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 23.27% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 50.6% (-0.319 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.57% (-0.39100000000001 -0.39)51.43% (0.392 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.76% (-0.342 -0.34)73.24% (0.342 0.34)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.21% (-0.166 -0.17)19.79% (0.165 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.15% (-0.27 -0.27)51.85% (0.27 0.27)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.09% (-0.267 -0.27)36.91% (0.267 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.3% (-0.268 -0.27)73.7% (0.267 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Mali 51.92%
    Zambia 23.27%
    Draw 24.8%
MaliDrawZambia
1-0 @ 11.83% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 9.59% (0.051 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.18%
3-1 @ 5.16% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.1% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.09% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 51.92%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.31% (0.114 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 7.28% (0.061 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.88% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.63% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 23.27%

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