Coverage of the International Friendlies International Friendly clash between Mali and Zambia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mali 0-0 Guinea
Monday, August 22 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Monday, August 22 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 51.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 23.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mali in this match.
Result | ||
Mali | Draw | Zambia |
51.92% ( -0.03) | 24.81% ( 0.09) | 23.27% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 50.6% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.57% ( -0.39) | 51.43% ( 0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.76% ( -0.34) | 73.24% ( 0.34) |
Mali Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.21% ( -0.17) | 19.79% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.15% ( -0.27) | 51.85% ( 0.27) |
Zambia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.09% ( -0.27) | 36.91% ( 0.27) |