Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 76.42%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 8.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.23%) and 3-0 (10.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.33%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (3.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.