MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 14:24:10| >> :60:374:374:
New Zealand national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 26, 2023 at 4am UK
Westpac Stadium
China national football team

New Zealand
2 - 1
China

Zhu (42' og.), Garbett (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dun (90+2')
Xin (56'), Liangming (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between New Zealand and China, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: New Zealand 0-0 China
Thursday, March 23 at 6am in International Friendlies
Last Game: New Zealand 0-0 China
Thursday, March 23 at 6am in International Friendlies

We said: New Zealand 0-0 China

New Zealand are ranked 25 places below China, but the hosts were arguably the better side before being reduced to 10 men - even if Bazeley's insistence that they were "awesome" is something of a stretch. With the full compliment on the pitch for 90 minutes, New Zealand have an even better chance of avoiding defeat once again - although, that debilitating goal drought threatens to drag on if Wood continues to be sidelined. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 64.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for China had a probability of 15.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a China win it was 0-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New Zealand would win this match.

Result
New ZealandDrawChina
64.03% (0.041000000000004 0.04) 20.56% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 15.41% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.59% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.32% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)44.68% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.95% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)67.05% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
New Zealand Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.75% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)13.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.97% (0.00099999999999767 0)40.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
China Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.31% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)41.69% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.84% (-0.061 -0.06)78.16% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    New Zealand 64.03%
    China 15.41%
    Draw 20.56%
New ZealandDrawChina
2-0 @ 11.28% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 11.16% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 7.6% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.65% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.84% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.36%
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.55% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 64.03%
1-1 @ 9.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.52% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 20.56%
0-1 @ 4.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.11% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 15.41%

How you voted: New Zealand vs China

New Zealand
58.3%
Draw
25.0%
China
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Mar 23, 2023 6am
Friendlies 1
New Zealand
0-0
China

Garbett (31')
Smith (63')

Long (10'), Linpeng (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Vikings
@
Bears
6pm
Lions
@
Colts
6pm
Patriots
@
Dolphins
6pm
Buccaneers
@
Giants
6pm
Chiefs
@
Panthers
6pm
Titans
@
Texans
6pm
Cowboys
@
Washington
9.05pm
Broncos
@
Raiders
9.25pm
49ers
@
Packers
9.25pm
Cardinals
@
Seahawks
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!