We said: Portugal 2-0 Republic of Ireland
Martinez will not have been overly concerned by his team's performance against Croatia, but he will not want to enter Euro 2024 off the back of another disappointing result. Republic of Ireland are capable of making this a tricky match, but we are expecting the hosts to navigate their way to a comfortable win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 73.81%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 10.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 3-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.04%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 1-2 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.
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