Friendlies 3

Mar 22, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

Race Course International Stadium (Colombo)

Sri Lanka
0 - 0
P. New Guinea

Steven (45+3'), Waiwai (79')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Sri Lanka and Papua New Guinea.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sri Lanka

Last Game: Sri Lanka 1-1 Yemen
Tuesday, October 17 at 10.30am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Papua New Guinea

Last Game: P. New Guinea 0-1 Vanuatu
Saturday, October 14 at 4am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Papua New Guinea win with a probability of 50.68%. A win for Sri Lanka had a probability of 24.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Papua New Guinea win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Sri Lanka win was 1-0 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Sri Lanka	Draw	Papua New Guinea
24.99% ( 0.05)	24.33% ( 0.04)	50.68% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 53.93% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.07% (

-0.13)

47.93% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.89% (

-0.12)

70.11% (

0.12)

Sri Lanka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.52% (

-0.03)

33.48% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.88% (

-0.03)

70.11% (

0.03)

Papua New Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.07% (

-0.08)

18.93% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.57% (

-0.14)

50.43% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Sri Lanka 24.99%

Papua New Guinea 50.68%

Draw 24.33%

Sri Lanka	Draw	Papua New Guinea
1-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 24.99%	1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.33%	0-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.78% 1-3 @ 5.33% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 50.68%