MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 19:47:17| >> :60:24:24:
Tahiti national football team
Friendlies 3
Mar 24, 2023 at 6am UK
Stade Pater Te Hono Nui
New Caledonia national football team

Tahiti
2 - 1
New Caledonia

Tinirauarii (30', 76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Makalu (33')
Forest (61')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Tahiti and New Caledonia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tahiti 0-2 New Caledonia
Tuesday, March 21 at 6am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Tahiti 0-2 New Caledonia
Tuesday, March 21 at 6am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Caledonia win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Tahiti had a probability of 36.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Caledonia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Tahiti win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
TahitiDrawNew Caledonia
36.72% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 24.85% (0.065999999999999 0.07) 38.42% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 58.28% (-0.24 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.01% (-0.308 -0.31)44.98% (0.309 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.66% (-0.296 -0.3)67.33% (0.297 0.3)
Tahiti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.89% (-0.126 -0.13)24.1% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.6% (-0.179 -0.18)58.4% (0.179 0.18)
New Caledonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79% (-0.185 -0.19)23.21% (0.186 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.89% (-0.272 -0.27)57.1% (0.274 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Tahiti 36.72%
    New Caledonia 38.42%
    Draw 24.85%
TahitiDrawNew Caledonia
2-1 @ 8.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.96% (0.076 0.08)
2-0 @ 5.66% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 36.72%
1-1 @ 11.62% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.59% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.85%
1-2 @ 8.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.17% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.97% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.91% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 38.42%

Head to Head
Mar 21, 2023 6am
Friendlies 3
Tahiti
0-2
New Caledonia
Xowi (69'), Rokuad (88')
rhs 2.0
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