We said: Uzbekistan 0-1 Venezuela
The White Wolves have been the aggressors in most of their recent matches, but outside of Shomurodov, we do not believe there is as much overall goalscoring quality when compared to their opponents.
On the other hand, the Venezuelans have proven to be a sharp defensive unit that can sustain their share of pressure, while their attacking depth should give them a slight edge in this contest.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Venezuela win it was 0-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.