H. Jerusalem

4 - 1

M. Petah Tikva

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Jerusalem win with a probability of 47.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Maccabi Petah Tikva had a probability of 24.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Jerusalem win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Maccabi Petah Tikva win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Jerusalem would win this match.