MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 14:43:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 17
Jun 11, 2023 at 6am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
1 - 3
Kyoto Sanga

Arai (72')
Tagami (67'), Ito (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Toyokawa (28'), Patric (75', 80' pen.)
Kawasaki (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Kyoto Sanga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hiroshima 3-1 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, June 4 at 6am in J1 League

We said: Albirex Niigata 2-1 Kyoto Sanga

Neither team heads into this match with much confidence overall, but with both teams in a desperate need of points it is going to be a crucial match that Alibrex Niigata could just edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 51.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawKyoto Sanga
51.95% (-0.341 -0.34) 24.25% (0.099 0.1) 23.8% (0.241 0.24)
Both teams to score 52.92% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.34% (-0.184 -0.18)48.66% (0.185 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.22% (-0.169 -0.17)70.78% (0.17 0.17)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.29% (-0.203 -0.2)18.71% (0.202 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.93% (-0.341 -0.34)50.07% (0.341 0.34)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.09% (0.116 0.12)34.91% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.35% (0.119 0.12)71.65% (-0.119 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 51.95%
    Kyoto Sanga 23.8%
    Draw 24.25%
Albirex NiigataDrawKyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 10.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.17% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.4% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.13% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.26% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 51.95%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.53% (0.05 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.25%
0-1 @ 6.87% (0.073 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.06% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.62% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 23.8%

How you voted: Albirex Niigata vs Kyoto Sanga

Albirex Niigata
100%
Draw
0.0%
Kyoto Sanga
0.0%
5
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035


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