Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 45.64%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 26.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 1-0 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.