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J1 League | Gameweek 18
Jun 25, 2022 at 10.30am UK
 

Avispa Fukuoka
1 - 3
Hiroshima

Watari (37')
Grolli (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mitsuta (28'), Vieira (77', 86' pen.)
Ben Khalifa (45'), Notsuda (68')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Form, Standings, Stats

Avispa Fukuoka

Last Six:
Last Game: Shimizu S-Pulse 3-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Last Six:
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-1 Cerezo
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.49%) and 1-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 (12.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Avispa FukuokaDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
32.03% (0.5 0.5) 30.45% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 37.53% (-0.53599999999999 -0.54)
Both teams to score 40.73% (0.011999999999993 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.35% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)66.65% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.98% (-0.023 -0.02)85.03% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.94% (0.358 0.36)38.06% (-0.356 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.17% (0.344 0.34)74.83% (-0.342 -0.34)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.76% (-0.36199999999999 -0.36)34.24% (0.363 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.06% (-0.39 -0.39)70.94% (0.39100000000001 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Avispa Fukuoka 32.02%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 37.52%
    Draw 30.44%
Avispa FukuokaDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 12.58% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 6.52% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.08% (0.125 0.13)
3-1 @ 2.1% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.96% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.12% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 32.02%
1-1 @ 13.49% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 13.03% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 30.44%
0-1 @ 13.96% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-2 @ 7.49% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 7.23% (-0.063999999999999 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 37.52%

Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 6am
Hiroshima
1-0
Avispa Fukuoka
Shibasaki (90+4')
Araki (56'), Santos (66')
Aug 9, 2021 11am
Avispa Fukuoka
1-1
Hiroshima
Mae (90+7')
Shichi (57'), Yuzawa (72')
Shichi (62')
Santos (67' pen.)
Aoyama (10'), Morishima (56')
Apr 24, 2021 6am
Hiroshima
1-2
Avispa Fukuoka
Higashi (28')
Mendes (9'), Mae (58')
Nara (90')
rhs 2.0
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