Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 52.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Oita Trinita win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cerezo Osaka in this match.