Cerezo

1 - 2

Sagan Tosu

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.