Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 39%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
