MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 04:17:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
Gamba Osaka
J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jun 30, 2024 at 10am UK
Nishigaoka National Stadium

Gamba Osaka
1 - 3
Machida Zelvia

Felipe (9')
Handa (31')
Handa (33')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Duke (45+2'), Fujio (61' pen.), Sento (69')
Araki (43'), Shimoda (52'), Suzuki (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Machida Zelvia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kashima Antlers 0-0 Gamba Osaka
Wednesday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-0 Machida Zelvia
Wednesday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Gamba Osaka 1-1 Machida Zelvia

With vital ground at stake in the race for the J1 League title, we are expecting a hard-fought affair between Gamba and Machida at Panasonic Stadium on Sunday. The Black and Blues are enjoying a marvellous unbeaten run that we feel will continue this weekend, but Zelvia should be good enough to snatch a point in Suita. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 36.3%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Gamba OsakaDrawMachida Zelvia
36.3% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 27.65% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 36.05% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.88% (-0.109 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.08% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)56.92% (0.133 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.17% (-0.106 -0.11)77.83% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.99% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)30.01% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.87% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)66.13% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.83% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)30.17% (0.083000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.68% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)66.32% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Gamba Osaka 36.29%
    Machida Zelvia 36.05%
    Draw 27.64%
Gamba OsakaDrawMachida Zelvia
1-0 @ 10.89% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.86% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.56% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.63% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 36.29%
1-1 @ 13.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.05% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 10.85% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.5% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.6% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 36.05%

How you voted: Gamba Osaka vs Machida Zelvia

Gamba Osaka
52.0%
Draw
32.0%
Machida Zelvia
16.0%
25
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 6am
Gameweek 1
Machida Zelvia
1-1
Gamba Osaka
Suzuki (17' pen.)
Sento (10'), Tani (90+2')
Sento (60')
Usami (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe35207856342267
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima351811666363065
3Machida Zelvia35179949311860
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers34169955401557
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka351512841311057
6Tokyo Verdy35141294645154
7FC Tokyo35149124946351
8Cerezo OsakaCerezo351213104243-149
9Avispa Fukuoka351114103134-347
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus35144174244-246
11Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki341111125650644
12Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare35128155051-144
13Kyoto Sanga34128144253-1144
14Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa341110134543243
15Yokohama F MarinosYokohama34127155254-243
16Albirex Niigata351010154357-1440
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol35912143748-1139
18Jubilo Iwata3498173956-1735
19Consadole SapporoConsadole3589184060-2033
20Sagan Tosu3585224166-2529


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