Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 49.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Vegalta Sendai had a probability of 24.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Vegalta Sendai win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.