Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 59.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Consadole Sapporo had a probability of 19.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Consadole Sapporo win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.