Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 56.91%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 21.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 1-2 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.