Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 53.14%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.21%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Kashiwa Reysol win it was 1-0 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.