Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 49.59%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
