Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.