Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for Vissel Kobe had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Vissel Kobe win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashiwa Reysol would win this match.