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J1 League | Gameweek 32
Sep 13, 2020 at 10.30am UK
Todoroki Athletics Stadium

Kawasaki
5 - 1
Hiroshima

Tanaka (14', 51'), Damiao (47'), Yamamura (50'), Kobayashi (88' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Asano (90')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 62.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a probability of 16.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
62.38%20.74%16.88%
Both teams to score 53.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.26%42.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.86%65.14%
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.87%13.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.21%39.78%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.36%38.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.62%75.38%
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 62.37%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16.88%
    Draw 20.74%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
2-0 @ 10.45%
1-0 @ 10.29%
2-1 @ 9.94%
3-0 @ 7.08%
3-1 @ 6.73%
4-0 @ 3.59%
4-1 @ 3.42%
3-2 @ 3.2%
4-2 @ 1.62%
5-0 @ 1.46%
5-1 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 62.37%
1-1 @ 9.79%
0-0 @ 5.07%
2-2 @ 4.73%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.74%
0-1 @ 4.82%
1-2 @ 4.66%
0-2 @ 2.29%
2-3 @ 1.5%
1-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 16.88%

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