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J1 League | Gameweek 13
May 14, 2022 at 6am UK
Mizuho Athletic Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
1 - 0
Cerezo

Sento (6')
Fujii (4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Maikuma (38')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Cerezo Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nagoya Grampus

Last Six:
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, May 28 at 6am in J1 League
Next Game: Urawa vs. Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League

Cerezo Osaka

Last Six:
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-2 Cerezo
Sunday, May 29 at 7am in J1 League
Next Game: Hiroshima vs. Cerezo
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawCerezo Osaka
40.36%28.58%31.06%
Both teams to score 45.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.05%60.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.05%80.95%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.42%29.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.39%65.61%
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.35%35.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.58%72.42%
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 40.35%
    Cerezo Osaka 31.05%
    Draw 28.57%
Nagoya GrampusDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 12.84%
2-1 @ 8.07%
2-0 @ 7.82%
3-1 @ 3.28%
3-0 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 1.69%
4-1 @ 1%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 40.35%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 10.54%
2-2 @ 4.16%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.57%
0-1 @ 10.87%
1-2 @ 6.83%
0-2 @ 5.61%
1-3 @ 2.35%
0-3 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 31.05%

Head to Head
Nov 27, 2021 5am
Cerezo
2-1
Nagoya Grampus
Fujita (80'), Nishio (87')
Kakitani (67')
Nagasawa (77')
May 8, 2021 7am
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Cerezo
Yoshida (66')
Yonemoto (70'), Kakitani (77')

Takagi (59')
Oct 10, 2020 6am
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Cerezo
Mateus (90+1')
Abe (72')
Jul 12, 2020 11am
Cerezo
0-2
Nagoya Grampus

Mineiro (57'), Sakamoto (69')
Jonjic (38' og.), Abe (61')
Maruyama (88')
rhs 2.0
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