Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for Consadole Sapporo had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Consadole Sapporo win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.