Nagoya Grampus

1 - 2

Sagan Tosu

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 48.67%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.