Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 53.04%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 19.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.65%) and 1-2 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Oita Trinita win it was 1-0 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.